![\"Spring](\"https:\/\/aroundfortwayne.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/NWS_new_top_logo-300x300.jpg\"){kind=logo}
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The National Weather Service has issued the spring Hydrologic Outlook<\/strong> for the Maumee River.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Text of the outlook from the National Weather Service:<\/p>\n The National Weather Service has issued the spring Hydrologic Outlook for the Maumee River.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":65764,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[227,29593],"tags":[23,4353,1142,23464,29594,200],"class_list":["post-112254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-flood","category-nws-hydrologic-outlooks","tag-fort-wayne-indiana","tag-hydrologic-outlook","tag-maumee-river","tag-national-weather-service-northern-indiana","tag-spring-hydrologic-outlook","tag-st-marys-river"],"yoast_head":"\n\n
PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK\r\nNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA\r\n1120 AM EST THU FEB 24 2022\r\n\r\n...ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE 90 DAY PROBABILISTIC\r\nFORECAST...\r\n\r\nTHIS IS THE 90 DAY PROBABILISTIC FORECAST FOR LOCATIONS IN THE\r\nMAUMEE RIVER BASIN IN NORTHEAST INDIANA AND NORTHWEST OHIO AND FOR\r\nTHE UPPER WABASH RIVER BASIN IN NORTHERN INDIANA. IN THE TABLE\r\nBELOW THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE CHANCE THE\r\nRIVER COULD RISE TO OR ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS IN THE NEXT\r\n90 DAYS.\r\n\r\nFOR EXAMPLE, THE MAUMEE RIVER AT FORT WAYNE, INDIANA HAS A FLOOD\r\nSTAGE OF 17 FEET. IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE\r\nTHE RIVER WILL RISE TO OR ABOVE 22.3 FEET.\r\n\r\nBLUFFTON, INDIANA ON THE WABASH RIVER HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 10 FEET. \r\nIN THE NEXT 90 DAYS THERE IS A 25 PERCENT CHANCE THE RIVER WILL RISE\r\nTO OR ABOVE 12.3 FEET.\r\n\r\n\r\n CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS\r\n ...VALID MARCH 1 2022 - MAY 30 2022... \r\n\r\nMAUMEE RIVER BASIN...\r\nLOCATION FS(FT) 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5%\r\n\r\nSAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO\r\nMONTPELIER OH 12.0 9.6 10.5 11.3 12.1 13.4 14.9 15.2\r\nNEWVILLE IN 12.0 10.8 11.5 12.1 12.9 14.4 15.6 16.2\r\nST. JOE FT W. IN 12.0 5.8 7.4 8.3 11.0 14.7 20.9 23.4\r\n\r\n\r\nSAINT MARYS RIVER\r\nDECATUR IN 17.0 12.3 13.6 15.9 17.3 19.2 21.3 22.4\r\nMULDOON BRIDGE IN 14.0 8.0 8.5 10.1 11.2 15.3 17.6 19.1\r\n\r\n\r\nMAUMEE RIVER\r\nFORT WAYNE IN 17.0 10.7 12.5 14.3 17.5 20.4 22.3 25.7\r\nDEFIANCE OH 10.0 4.6 4.8 5.8 6.5 9.2 11.0 11.8\r\nNAPOLEON OH 12.0 6.2 7.7 9.1 11.0 13.6 15.3 15.8\r\n\r\n\r\nTIFFIN RIVER\r\nSTRYKER OH 11.0 10.5 11.5 13.0 13.7 14.8 17.0 18.0\r\n\r\n\r\nBLANCHARD RIVER\r\nOTTAWA OH 23.0 19.3 20.1 21.3 22.6 24.0 26.4 27.3\r\n\r\n\r\nAUGLAIZE RIVER\r\nFORT JENNINGS OH 13.0 7.4 8.9 11.4 13.0 14.6 17.2 18.0\r\nDEFIANCE OH 21.0 12.4 13.2 14.8 16.1 19.7 22.0 23.5\r\n\r\n\r\nUPPER WABASH RIVER BASIN...\r\nLOCATION FS(FT) 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5%\r\n\r\nWABASH RIVER\r\nLINN GROVE IN 11.0 10.4 11.1 11.9 13.2 14.3 15.2 15.4\r\nBLUFFTON IN 10.0 7.4 8.6 9.7 10.9 12.3 13.8 14.4\r\nWABASH IN 14.0 9.7 10.5 11.1 11.9 13.4 14.9 19.8\r\nLOGANSPORT IN 15.0 8.1 8.3 8.6 9.2 10.2 11.4 12.8\r\n\r\n\r\nTIPPECANOE RIVER\r\nORA IN 12.0 11.0 11.0 11.7 12.7 13.3 14.4 14.7\r\nWINAMAC IN 10.0 8.3 8.4 9.1 10.2 11.0 12.9 13.4\r\n\r\n\r\nMISSISSINEWA RIVER\r\nMARION IN 12.0 5.1 5.5 6.5 7.6 9.1 10.8 11.8\r\n\r\n\r\nSALAMONIE RIVER\r\nPORTLAND IN 11.0 6.9 7.3 8.0 8.7 10.1 14.3 21.2\r\nWARREN IN 12.0 8.9 9.3 9.8 10.6 11.6 13.8 14.9\r\n\r\n\r\nEEL RIVER\r\nN. MANCHESTER IN 11.0 7.7 8.9 10.1 11.7 13.1 15.2 16.3\r\n\r\n\r\nTHIS LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS FORECAST VALUES THAT\r\nARE CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SEASON SCENARIOS FROM 30 OR MORE\r\nYEARS OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA INCLUDING CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE\r\nRIVER, SOIL MOISTURE, SNOW MELT AND 30 TO 90 DAY LONG-RANGE\r\nOUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE\r\nRANGE OF PROBABILITIES, THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG\r\nRANGE PLANNING DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED. THESE PROBABILISTIC\r\nFORECASTS ARE A PART OF NOAA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICES ADVANCED\r\nHYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE.\r\n\r\nADDITIONAL SUPPORTIVE DATA AND EXPLANATIONS ARE AVAILABLE ON\r\nAHPS AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV\/IWX, UNDER RIVERS AND LAKES.\r\n\r\n...SNOW COVER\/SOIL CONDITIONS...\r\n\r\nA SERIES OF SYSTEMS OVER THE PAST TWO WEEKS BROUGHT 1 TO 2 INCHES OF \r\nLIQUID PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA WITH A MAXIMUM OF 3 INCHES ACROSS \r\nTHE FAR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE UPPER WABASH AND TIPPECANOE RIVER \r\nBASINS. THIS RAINFALL COUPLED WITH RAPID SNOWMELT HAS HIGHLY SATURATED \r\nOUR SOILS ACROSS THE BASINS. PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST TWO WEEKS WAS \r\n150 TO 300 PERCENT OF NORMAL FOR MID FEBRUARY. PRECIPITATION OVER THE \r\nPAST 90-DAYS IN IN THE 100 TO 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL. \r\n\r\nTHE LIQUID PRECIPITATION AS WELL AS WARMER TEMPERATURES (INTO THE \r\n50S FOR SOME LOCATIONS) SINCE THE LAST ISSUANCE RAPIDLY MELTED SNOW \r\nCOVER ACROSS THE BASIN. ANOTHER SYSTEM THIS WEEK IS EXPECTED TO BRING\r\nACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE BASINS; HOWEVER ANY ADDITIONAL SNOWPACK \r\nWILL ONLY RESULT IN LOCALIZED IMPACTS AND NOT HAVE A WIDE-REACHING \r\nEFFECT ON FLOODING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS SEASON. \r\n\r\nFROST DEPTH HAS ALSO DIMINISHED ACROSS THE BASINS WITH GENERALLY \r\nLESS THAN 6 INCHES OF FROST PENETRATION. WHILE NEAR TERM FREEZE UP\r\nIS POSSIBLE, GRADUAL WARMING TEMPERATURES INTO THE START OF MARCH \r\nWILL HELP THAW ANY REMAINING FROST AND REMOVE IT AS A FACTOR FOR \r\nFLOODING MOVING FORWARD. \r\n\r\n...WEATHER OUTLOOK...\r\n\r\nIN THE NEAR TERM, A SYSTEM WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE \r\nBASINS TONIGHT. THE FORECAST SHOWS BETWEEN 2 TO 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW \r\nWITH A LIQUID EQUIVALENT OF LESS THAN HALF OF AN INCH. THE PATTERN \r\nTHEN SHIFTS TO A DRY AND GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE NEXT 7 \r\nDAYS. \r\n\r\nTHE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK \r\nIS LEANING TOWARDS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL \r\nPRECIPITATION. THE CPC EXPERIMENTAL 3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK IS LEANING \r\nTOWARDS EQUAL CHANGES FOR ABOVE, BELOW, AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES \r\nAND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE OFFICIAL 1 AND 3 MONTH OUTLOOKS \r\nFOR MARCH AND MARCH THROUGH MAY ALSO LEAN TOWARDS ABOVE NORMAL \r\nTEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.\r\n\r\n...RIVER CONDITIONS...\r\n\r\nSTREAMFLOWS OVER THE PAST 7 DAYS SHOW THE UPPER WABASH AND MAUMEE \r\nRIVER BASINS AS ABOVE TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL. IN FACT, FLOODING IS \r\nONGOING FOR PORTIONS OF THE TIPPECANOE, SAINT JOSEPH \r\nINDIANA\/OHIO, AND TIFFIN RIVERS. \r\n\r\nTHE RECENT RISES ON RIVERS ALSO SHIFTED ICE AND RESULTED IN \r\nISOLATED ICE JAMS WITH MINOR IMPACTS. WHILE ICE MAY BE PRESENT ON \r\nSMALLER TRIBUTARIES, THE RECENT RISES ON RIVERS HAS GREATLY \r\nDIMINISHED AND REMOVED FUTURE ICE JAMS AS CONCERN FOR FLOODING. \r\n\r\n\r\n...OVERALL FLOOD RISK...\r\n\r\nTHE FLOOD RISK IS CONSIDERED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR BOTH THE MAUMEE \r\nAND WABASH RIVER BASINS. THIS MEANS MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS \r\nLIKELY. NORMAL RISK FOR FLOODING IS CONSIDERED NO MORE THAN MINOR \r\nFLOODING EVERY 1 TO 2 YEARS. THIS ABOVE NORMAL RISK IS DUE TO THE \r\nCOMBINATION OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AND CONVECTIVE RAINS OVER ALREADY \r\nSATURATED SOILS. \r\n\r\n...FLOOD TERMINOLOGY...\r\nTHE TERM MINOR FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE MINIMAL OR NO PROPERTY\r\nDAMAGE. HOWEVER, SOME PUBLIC INCONVENIENCE IS POSSIBLE.\r\n\r\nTHE TERM MODERATE FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE THE INUNDATION OF \r\nSECONDARY ROADS. TRANSFER TO A HIGHER ELEVATION MAY BE NECESSARY TO\r\nSAVE PROPERTY.\r\n\r\nTHE TERM MAJOR FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE EXTENSIVE INUNDATION\r\nAND PROPERTY DAMAGE, USUALLY CHARACTERIZED BY THE EVACUATION OF \r\nPEOPLE AND LIVESTOCK AND THE CLOSURE OF BOTH PRIMARY AND SECONDARY \r\nROADS.\r\n\r\nTHE NEXT LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ON THURSDAY \r\nMARCH 10, 2022 FOR THE UPPER WABASH AND MAUMEE RIVER BASINS.\r\n\r\n\r\n$$<\/pre>\n<\/blockquote>\n
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