The Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics has contracted with SurveyUSA to conduct a poll in Indiana’s third congressional district.
The press release:
Constitutional Amendment
In late 2009, the Bowen Center for Public Affairs at Ball State University published the results of a survey that showed 64% of Hoosiers supported putting property tax caps in the Indiana Constitution. In this poll conducted in October of 2010, 52% of the respondents said they would be voting for the constitutional amendment and 21% said they would vote against it. Twenty-seven percent (27%) were undecided on the matter. Not surprisingly the amendment led in all but two demographic categories (strong Democrats and independents who lean Democrat) and had a majority of support in several categories.
Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics
The Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics is a non-partisan organization that helps the people of Indiana understand the role of politics and government in their daily lives. By doing this The Mike Downs Center hopes to encourage participation in political and public processes the same way its namesake Dr. Michael C. Downs did for more than 34 years. The Mike Downs Center is located on the campus of Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne (IPFW).Statement of Methodology
This SurveyUSA poll was conducted by telephone. Live operators asked for and secured the cooperation of a designated respondent in each household. Then, a recorded voice was used to ask the survey questions. Respondent households were selected at random, using a registration based sample (RBS) provided by Aristotle, of Washington DC. All respondents heard the questions asked identically. The calls were conducted from 10/21/10 through 10/25/10. The number of respondents who answered each question and the margin of sampling error for each question are provided. Where necessary, responses were weighted according to the voter registration database. In theory, with the stated sample size, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents been interviewed with complete accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than theoretical calculations of sampling error. These include refusals to be interviewed, question wording and question order, weighting by demographic control data and the manner in which respondents are filtered (such as, determining who is a likely voter). It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these factors. Fieldwork for this survey was done by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ.
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